オプションリサーチ
BABA Is Priced as Commerce. Its Long-Dated Options Ignore the AI Rewrite.
Alibaba's commerce engine funds Cloud, Qwen, and T-Head. The stock carries a China discount; long-dated options barely price the chance that the company changes category.
続きを読む 2026-08-17SanDisk Is Up 3,585%. The Options Market Has Scheduled the Verdict for 2028
How a memory-card company became the purest AI storage trade on US markets: the inference storage problem from first principles, the NAND squeeze, an 84.6% gross margin quarter, $93.9B of contracts, HBF, and what four vol surfaces say about each other.
続きを読む 2026-06-11The Next Trillion Dollars of Stablecoins Will Be Built on Options
Vitalik proposed replacing debt and liquidations with option pairs as the base layer for synthetic dollars. We explain the idea from first principles, price it on live Deribit data, and backtest it through nine years of ETH crashes. The missing piece is an options venue.
続きを読む 2026-06-03RPI: The Execution Model Between RFQ and CLOB
The RFQ vs CLOB debate misses the point. RPI gives you a transparent orderbook with a pre-trade auction that guarantees price improvement. Here is how it works, why options need it, and what it means for perps.
続きを読む 2026-04-22SpaceX Paid $10 Billion for a Call Option on Cursor. That's a Great Deal.
The biggest AI deal of the year is a structured option hiding in plain sight. We decompose the SpaceX-Cursor acquisition right into a Black-Scholes framework, back out the implied vol, and compare it to every asset class we can price.
続きを読む 2026-04-11The Generational Oil Roll Happened on Hyperliquid: Why It Couldn't Have Happened Anywhere Else
How a published oracle walk between dated CME contracts turned the April WTI roll into the loudest trade in crypto — and why HIP-3 is the only venue this instrument could have existed on.
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